Current presidential election projections from 538

This projected election results chart from FiveThirtyEight.com looks daunting for McCain:

Pretty hard numbers coming from a group of pretty hard number-crunchers. 538’s analysis is courtesy of one of the Baseball Prospectus guys, and they take data and statistics very seriously.

The site has been accused of a pro-Obama slant and it does seem the opinion on the site leans heavily toward the Democratic nominee, but don’t think support for a candidate would necessarily translate to cooking the books for the nominee. GOPers dismissing 538’s projections are doing so at their own peril.

Update 8/14/08 — If you’re finding this page now hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.