David Kirkpatrick

October 27, 2008

538 projections one week and day out

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 1:07 pm

And as an added bonus, I’m throwing in their “super tracker.”

 

And of course, If you’re finding this page later than today’s date hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

October 23, 2008

Final 12 days 538 projection

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 8:33 pm

Obama’s highest numbers ever after a group of very strong battleground state polls.

Here’s the break down on the numbers behind this group of projections.

And of course, If you’re finding this page later than today’s date hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

October 13, 2008

The FiveThirtyEight projections for today …

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 12:59 pm

… are off the wall for Obama. McCain needs a real good — make that very good — week to stay competitive. Time is running out and Obama has all the mo right now.

And of course, If you’re finding this page later than today’s date hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

October 2, 2008

Big Obama numbers from 538

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 10:33 am

Actually eye-popping projections from FiveThirtyEight right now:

And as always,

If you’re finding this page later than today’s date hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

September 28, 2008

538 projections after McCain’s failure of a week

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 4:23 pm

McCain posts a total “FAIL” of a week and Obama reaps the polling and projection benefits.

The latest from FiveThirtyEight.com:

If you’re finding this page later than today’s date hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

August 24, 2008

538 presidential projections tighten

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 3:56 pm

The latest from FiveThirtyEight. This week has found the projections as tight as they’ve been to date:

Expect a bump (not the 15% the McCain team is bloviating about) for Obama post convention. Same thing for McCain. It’ll be interesting to see the results when the two sit down together for an actual debate and not a christianist jackoff session like Saddleback.

If you’re finding this page later than today’s date hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

August 13, 2008

Mid-August 538 presidential projections

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 1:40 am

The latest projections for the presidenial race from 538:

Update 8/14/08 — If you’re finding this page now hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

July 28, 2008

538 presidential projections — final week of July

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 3:02 am

Here’s the presidential race projections from FiveThirtyEight.com for 7/28/08.

Update 8/14/08 — If you’re finding this page now hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

July 21, 2008

The latest projections from 538

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 1:11 pm

Presidential race projections from FiveThirtyEight.com:

Update 8/14/08 — If you’re finding this page now hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

July 13, 2008

Mid-July projections from 538

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 6:06 pm

Here’s the latest projections from FiveThirtyEight.com:

Update 8/14/08 — If you’re finding this page now hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

June 25, 2008

Current presidential election projections from 538

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , , — David Kirkpatrick @ 12:59 am

This projected election results chart from FiveThirtyEight.com looks daunting for McCain:

Pretty hard numbers coming from a group of pretty hard number-crunchers. 538’s analysis is courtesy of one of the Baseball Prospectus guys, and they take data and statistics very seriously.

The site has been accused of a pro-Obama slant and it does seem the opinion on the site leans heavily toward the Democratic nominee, but don’t think support for a candidate would necessarily translate to cooking the books for the nominee. GOPers dismissing 538’s projections are doing so at their own peril.

Update 8/14/08 — If you’re finding this page now hit this link for my latest update, or better yet head straight to 538 for their very latest projections.

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